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'MNF' Week 14: Two touchdown props for Tennessee Titans vs. Miami Dolphins
Miami Dolphins wide receiver Jaylen Waddle (17). Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports

'MNF' Week 14: Two touchdown props for Tennessee Titans vs. Miami Dolphins

We've got the Miami Dolphins hosting the Tennessee Titans in the second 'MNF' game of Week 14, and this should be a solid game for some props, as both defenses have had their issues covering wide receivers.

It's there we turn for a pair of touchdown props tonight.

Jaylen Waddle (+120 Caesars)

Obviously, Tyreek Hill is the more obvious and likely wide receiver on Miami to punch in a touchdown. He's leading the team in targets and has scored in all but two games this year, tallying 12 total scores. However, his price ranges from -190 to -220 and we're sorry but that's just never something we would recommend betting, no matter how likely it is. Look at Christian McCaffrey yesterday at -300 as an example: he failed to score.

As such, we turn to Waddle in what is a very inviting matchup against the Tennessee Titans. Tennessee ranks among the best targets in the league for passing offenses. They're allowing the sixth-highest yards per pass attempt, the sixth-most 20+ yard passes per game, and the third-most receptions per game to WRs.

Tennessee also is letting up the seventh-most touchdowns per game to WRs and DVOA grades out their secondary as the third-worst unit in football. So, yeah, it should be another Miami masterclass through the air.

Go for Hill if you so please, but Waddle remains a viable WR2 in this offense and has been targeted 8+ times in three straight and six of his last eight. He's scored three times this year so we'll take a chance on him at the better odds.

DeAndre Hopkins (+265 DraftKings)

On paper the Titans should be able to find some success with their wide receivers, and when you factor in they're sure to be down big early and abandoning the run, the angle starts to look all the better.

Miami has let up the eighth-most receptions per game to WRs on the season and are tied with the Titans for seventh-most touchdowns allowed to wideouts. That's a solid intersection of trends to suggest a big WR can be coming, and there's really nowhere to turn besides DeAndre Hopkins.

Hopkins leads Tennessee with 94 targets, 15 of which have come in the red zone, and he's scored a touchdown in two of the past three weeks and five times since Will Levis took over at QB. 

We will honorably mention Nick Westbrook-Ikhine as a longshot pick at +600, he's second among Titans WRs in snaps played and targets of late, but Hopkins is the far safer play, and still at a very solid price.


Follow Griffin Carroll at griffybets.substack.com for data, trends and targets for every NFL game, plus all the off-season news you can use. 



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